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thread · root 87127237…e46d · depth 2 · · selected 0a21f88e…afbf

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root 87127237…e46d · depth 2 · · selected 0a21f88e…afbf

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| A new study found that electing a Republican prosecutor reduces all-cause mortality among men aged 20-29 by 6.6%.    |
| The mechanism behind it is going to make both sides uncomfortable.                                                   |
|                                                                                                                      |
| Researchers from Vanderbilt and Wellesley studied hundreds of closely contested partisan prosecutor elections        |
| between 2010 and 2019. In jurisdictions that narrowly elected a Republican over a Democrat, firearm-related deaths   |
| dropped significantly.                                                                                               |
|                                                                                                                      |
| The effect is strongest among Black men, where firearm homicide falls sharply. Among White men, it shows up as a     |
| smaller reduction in firearm suicides and accidents. No effect on opioid deaths, which makes sense — prosecutors     |
| don't control drug supply chains.                                                                                    |
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| Here's the part nobody wants to hear:                                                                                |
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| The lives aren't being saved by locking people up. Prison incapacitation only explains about one third of the        |
| reduction among Black men. The dominant mechanism is conviction-based firearms restrictions. A felony conviction     |
| strips your legal right to own a gun. Republican prosecutors secure higher conviction rates, which means more people |
| in high-risk demographics lose legal access to firearms.                                                             |
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| The right has to reckon with the fact that the mechanism saving lives is effectively a form of gun restriction. The  |
| left has to reckon with the fact that it only works when prosecutors actually pursue convictions instead of          |
| diversion programs.                                                                                                  |
|                                                                                                                      |
| Hundreds of elections. A decade of mortality data. The data doesn't care about your priors.                          |
| https://blossom.primal.net/370b874a94735a70bbf2f050aea9de4eda1bd4fbfd0c6551bdbd5dea3803f0f1.jpg                      |
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