Logan -- 169d Great post Jake replyGreat post Jake
thread · root 7fbb2bba…2698 · depth 2 · · selected e52c3fa1…68d1
thread
root 7fbb2bba…2698 · depth 2 · · selected e52c3fa1…68d1
If you’ve watched the Big Short, you’ll know the scene when the traders just cannot figure out wtf is going on- They can see the over-leverage- They can see the synthetic demand- They can see the incumbent arroganceYet the market hadn’t done what they expected- People were still buying houses- Ninja loans were still being issued- CDOs were still being allocatedWhat’s missing?TimeTime in the marketThey were directionally correct- But things weren’t bad enough- It wasn’t broken enough- They hadn’t kicked the can far enoughWhat if that’s where we’re at today?Bitcoin is actually a raging BUY“The Big Print” remains a “when” not “if”The 4 year cycle thesis is duping people into selling too earlyThe “it’s an IPO” tradfi lens is making everyone docileWe’ve won…But what if that’s total BS?Digital scarcity has never been seen in the wild beforeWhat if endless money gets warped into a Veblen good like never before?Price goes up. Demand goes up…Q2 next year could be proper fireworksHODL friendsHODL
Great post Jake
If you’ve watched the Big Short, you’ll know the scene when the traders just cannot figure out wtf is going on
- They can see the over-leverage
- They can see the synthetic demand
- They can see the incumbent arrogance
Yet the market hadn’t done what they expected
- People were still buying houses
- Ninja loans were still being issued
- CDOs were still being allocated
What’s missing?
Time
Time in the market
They were directionally correct
- But things weren’t bad enough
- It wasn’t broken enough
- They hadn’t kicked the can far enough
What if that’s where we’re at today?
Bitcoin is actually a raging BUY
“The Big Print” remains a “when” not “if”
The 4 year cycle thesis is duping people into selling too early
The “it’s an IPO” tradfi lens is making everyone docile
We’ve won…
But what if that’s total BS?
Digital scarcity has never been seen in the wild before
What if endless money gets warped into a Veblen good like never before?
Price goes up. Demand goes up…
Q2 next year could be proper fireworks
HODL friends
HODL